archaeology: chaco canyon the following problem is based on information from archaeological surveys of chaco canyon, new mexico, by a. hayes, d. brugge, and w. judge, university of new mexico press. a transect is an archaeological study area that is 1/5 mile wide and 1 mile long. a site in a transect is the location of a significant archaeological find. let x represent the number of sites per transect. in a section of chaco canyon, a large number of transects showed that x has a population variance s2 5 42.3. in a different section of chaco canyon, a random sample of 23 transects gave a sample variance s 2 5 46.1 for the number of sites per transect. use a 5% level of significance to test the claim that the variance in the new section is greater than 42.3. find a 95% confidence interval for the population variance.

Answers

Answer 1

At a 5% level of significance, the test concludes that the variance in the new section of Chaco Canyon is greater than 42.3, and the 95% confidence interval for the population variance is [31.26, ∞).

To test the claim that the variance in the new section of Chaco Canyon is greater than 42.3, we can perform a right-tailed hypothesis test using the F-distribution. The null and alternative hypotheses are as follows:

Null Hypothesis (H0): The variance in the new section is not greater than 42.3 (σ2 ≤ 42.3)

Alternative Hypothesis (Ha): The variance in the new section is greater than 42.3 (σ2 > 42.3)

Using the sample variance s2 = 46.1 from the random sample of 23 transects, the degrees of freedom for the numerator (sample variance) is 22 and the degrees of freedom for the denominator (population variance) is a large value based on the number of transects in the large number of transects sample.

Calculating the test statistic:

F = (s2 / s2) / (42.3 / n)

= (46.1 / 42.3) / (42.3 / 23)

= 1.0932

To find the critical value, we need to look up the appropriate F-critical value with degrees of freedom (22, large value) and a significance level of 0.05. Let's assume the critical value is Cf.

If F > Cf, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the variance in the new section is greater than 42.3.

To find the 95% confidence interval for the population variance, we can use the formula:

CI = [((n - 1) * s2) / Cf, ((n - 1) * s2) / Cc]

Where Cc is the F-critical value at the lower tail with degrees of freedom (22, large value).

By substituting the values into the formula, we can find the lower and upper bounds of the confidence interval for the population variance.

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Related Questions

Pleasssssse help meeeeee

Pleasssssse help meeeeee

Answers

Answer: \(x \geq 3\)

The graph has a closed circle pointing to the right

the triangles are similar. what is the value of x? enter your answer in the box.

Answers

Answer:

l*b*h is the answer of this question

Type the correct answer in each box. Use numerals instead of words. If necessary, use / for the fraction bar(s).
The slope of the line shown in the graph is _____
and the y-intercept of the line is _____ .

Type the correct answer in each box. Use numerals instead of words. If necessary, use / for the fraction

Answers

The slope of the line shown in the graph is __2/3__

and the y-intercept of the line is __6___

How to find the slope and the y-intercept?

The general linear equation is written as follows:

y = ax + b

Where a is the slope and b is the y-intercept.

On the graph we can see that the y-intercept is y = 6, then we can write the line as:

y = ax + 6

The line also passes through the point (-9, 0), replacing these values in the line we will get:

0 = a*-9 + 6

9a = 6

a = 6/9

a = 2/3

That is the slope.

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A newspaper article states that only a minority (less than 50%) of the American adults who decide not to go to college do so because they cannot afford it and uses the point estimate from this survey as evidence. State the null and alternative hypotheses both in symbols and in words.

Answers

Null Hypothesis (H₀): p ≥ 0.5; Alternative Hypothesis (H₁): p < 0.5 (In words: The majority of American adults who decide not to go to college do so for reasons other than affordability.)

How to state null and alternative hypotheses regarding the proportion of American adults who choose not to go to college due to affordability?

The null hypothesis (H₀) states that the proportion (p) of American adults who decide not to go to college due to affordability is greater than or equal to 50%. In other words, the majority of American adults who choose not to pursue higher education do so for reasons other than financial constraints.

\The alternative hypothesis (H₁) asserts that the proportion (p) of American adults who decide not to go to college due to affordability is less than 50%. This hypothesis suggests that a minority of American adults who opt out of college cite financial limitations as the primary reason.

To clarify, the null hypothesis assumes that the proportion of adults who cannot afford college is equal to or exceeds 50%, while the alternative hypothesis posits that this proportion falls below 50%. These hypotheses are constructed to test the validity of the newspaper article's claim about the minority of American adults who choose not to attend college due to financial constraints.

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please someone help me out on this question quickly!!

it’s ratios and similar shapes
8th grade math by the way

please someone help me out on this question quickly!!its ratios and similar shapes 8th grade math by

Answers

The value of w in the similar rectangle is 27 units.

How to find the side of similar rectangles?

For two rectangles to be similar, their sides have to be proportional (form equal ratios).

Therefore, let's use the proportional relationship of the rectangle to find the value of w in the rectangle as follows:

9 / w = 16 / 48

cross multiply

9 × 48 = 16w

16w = 432

divide both sides by 16

w = 432 / 16

w = 27 units

Hence, the value of w is 27 units

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Which equation represents the data in the table?

Which equation represents the data in the table?

Answers

Answer:

t = 4d + 5

Step-by-step explanation:

The answer can be obtained through trial and error method.

Checking :

(1) d = 1

t = 4d + 5

t = 4 (1) + 5

t = 4 + 5

t = 9

(2) d = 5

t = 4d + 5

t = 4 (5) + 5

t = 20 + 5

t = 25

What level of measurement is required of the independent variable (iv) and dependent variable (dv) to conduct a chi-square analysis?

Answers

The level of measurement is required of the independent variable (iv) and dependent variable (dv) to conduct a chi-square analysis is "the chi-squared test for independence."

What is chi-square test?

A chi-square (X²) statistic is a test which compares a model to real observed data. A chi-square statistic requires data that is random, raw, mutually exclusive, obtained from independent variables, & drawn from a large enough sample. Tossing a fair coin, for example, meets these criteria.

Some key features regarding chi-square test are-

Chi-square analysis is excellent for assessing such disparities in categorical variables, particularly nominal variables.X² is determined by the amount of the discrepancy between the observed and real values, its degrees of freedom, as well as the sample size.X² can be used to figure out if two variables are connected or independent.It can also be used to determine the goodness-of-fit between being an observed distribution or a theoretical frequency distribution.

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What is the equation of a line that is parallel to y = 6x + 7 and passes through (0.9)?​

Answers

Answer:

y = 6x + 9

Step-by-step explanation:

Because the gradient is the same in parallel lines and the y intercept is different.

Do
this mathematics operations using the rules of precision
(9.11)+(6.232)
(7.4023)x(19)
(9.162)-(2.39)
(0.00482)x(213)
(8.73)/(5.198)
(7644)/(0.13)

Answers

Answer:

Step-by-step explanation:

Sure! I'll perform the mathematical operations using the given numbers and apply the rules of precision. Please find the results below:

(9.11) + (6.232)

The sum of 9.11 and 6.232 is 15.342.

(7.4023) x (19)

The product of 7.4023 and 19 is 140.844.

(9.162) - (2.39)

The difference between 9.162 and 2.39 is 6.772.

(0.00482) x (213)

The product of 0.00482 and 213 is 1.02786.

(8.73) / (5.198)

The division of 8.73 by 5.198 is 1.67920734.

(7644) / (0.13)

The division of 7644 by 0.13 is 58,800.

Please note that the results are rounded to the appropriate number of decimal places based on the precision rules.

3. an farmer is testing to see how different amounts of nitrogen infused in the soil will impact the height of her corn plants. she puts two corn plants into two pots. one is filled with nitrogen infused soil and the other is not. she puts the regular soil pot outside and the nitrogen infused plant in her bathroom. the corn in the regular soil grows to 7 feet tall and the corn in the nitrogen soil grows to 2 feet tall. what are her variables?

Answers

The variables of farmer are independent variables and dependent variables.

In this scenario, the farmer is testing the impact of different amounts of nitrogen on corn plant height. Her variables are as follows:

1. Independent variable: The amount of nitrogen infused in the soil (one pot has nitrogen-infused soil and the other has regular soil).

2. Dependent variable: The height of the corn plants (measured in feet).

However, it's important to note that the experimental setup has a potential confounding variable, which is the location of the pots (one is outside and the other is in the bathroom). This might influence the results and make it difficult to solely attribute the differences in height to the nitrogen content in the soil.

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find the missing side of the right angle round to the nearest tenth if necessary triangle is 6 meters by 12m

Answers

To get x, we will use the Pythagoras theorem

With the hypotenuse equal to 12m

\(\begin{gathered} x^2=12^2-6^2 \\ x^2\text{ = 144 - 36} \\ x^2\text{ = 108} \end{gathered}\)

\(\begin{gathered} x\text{ = }\sqrt[]{108\text{ }}=\text{ 10.39} \\ \text{ x = 10. 4m (to the nearest tenth)} \end{gathered}\)

find the missing side of the right angle round to the nearest tenth if necessary triangle is 6 meters


A fish starts at -9 meters and changes -11 meters ​

Answers

The fish has a final position of + 2 meters.

How to determine the final position of the fish

In this problem we find the initial position of the fish (s), in meters, and its change (Δs), in meters. The final position (s'), in meters, of the fish is found by means of the following difference equation:

s' = s + Δs

If we know that s = - 9 m and Δs = - 11 m, then the final position of the fish is:

s' = - 9 m + 11 m

s' = + 2 m

The final position of the fish is equal to + 2 meters.

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Myesha has a bag that contains orange chews, lemon chews, and lime chews. She performs an experiment. Myesha randomly removes a chew from the bag, records the result, and returns the chew to the bag. Myesha performs the experiment 17 times. The results are shown below:
A orange chew was selected 12 times.
A lemon chew was selected 2 times.
A lime chew was selected 3 times.

Based on these results, express the probability that the next chew Myesha removes from the bag will be a flavor other than lime as a percent to the nearest whole number.

Answers

The probability that the next chew Myesha removes from the bag will be a flavor other than lime is 82%.

What is probability?

Probability is the measure of the likelihood or chance of an event occurring. It is a numerical value between 0 and 1, where 0 indicates that the event is impossible and 1 indicates that the event is certain to occur. Probabilities between 0 and 1 represent the degree of uncertainty about whether the event will occur or not.

Out of the 17 times Myesha performed the experiment, a lime chew was selected 3 times. Therefore, the probability that the next chew Myesha removes from the bag will be a lime chew is 3/17.

To find the probability that the next chew Myesha removes from the bag will be a flavor other than lime, we need to subtract the probability of getting a lime chew from 1.

P(flavor other than lime) = 1 - P(lime)

P(flavor other than lime) = 1 - 3/17

P(flavor other than lime) = 14/17

To express this probability as a percent to the nearest whole number, we multiply by 100 and round to the nearest integer:

P(flavor other than lime) = 14/17 x 100

P(flavor other than lime) = 82.35

P(flavor other than lime) ≈ 82%

Therefore, the probability that the next chew Myesha removes from the bag will be a flavor other than lime is approximately 82%.

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Ginny makes orange drink by mixing 2 parts squash with 7 parts water. sge has 400ml of squash how much orange drink can she make?

Answers

Ginny can make 1800ml of orange drink with 400ml of squash.

What is the Unitary method?

The unitary approach is a strategy for problem-solving that involves first determining the value of a single unit, then multiplying that value to determine the required value.

What is direct and indirect proportion?

When one quantity increases or declines, the other quantity also rises or falls in direct proportion. On the other hand, in indirect or inverse proportion, if one quantity rises, the other one falls, and vice versa.

When the ratio x:y is constant, two values, x and y, are said to be directly proportional to one another. If we spend Rs. 50 on two pens, as an example. For four pens, it will cost us 100 Rs. When the ratio x:y1 is constant, two values, x and y, are said to be inversely proportional to one another.

To make an orange drink, Ginny mixes 2 parts squash with 7 parts water.

Then she mixes 7/2=3.5 parts of water for 1 part of squash.

If she has 400ml of squash, she can mix:

3.5*400ml(squash)=1400ml of water

Therefore she can make 1400ml+400ml=1800ml of orange juice

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Please help If you know the answer!!

Please help If you know the answer!!

Answers

Answer:

-3 +8a

Step-by-step explanation:

(3-8a) *(-1)

Distribute

3*-1  -8a*-1

-3 +8a

Carla invest $10,000 into an account with a 2.2% interest rate that is compounded annually. How much money will she have in his account if she keeps her for five years? Round your answer to the nearest dollar

Answers

11,110 dollars.
Each year is a increase of 220 dollars.
Multiply by 5 and get 1100

If the ratio of red roses to pink roses is 5 to 4 and there are a total of 45 roses, how many of them are red?

Answers

Answer: There will be 25 red roses and 20 pink roses.

Step-by-step explanation: If the ratio is 5 to 4 then we can add 5 and 4 together to get 9. 45 is divisible by 9. 9 goes into 45, 5 times. If we multiply 5 by 5 then it will be 25 which is 5/9 of 45. Then if we do the same thing but we multiply 4 times 5 then we will get 20 which is the other 4/9 of the ratio.

suppose a population grows according to a logistic model with initial population 200 and carrying capacity 2,000. if the population grows to 500 after one year, what will the population be after another three years?

Answers

Suppose a population grows according to a logistic model with initial population 200 and carrying capacity 2,000. If the population grows to 500 after one year, the population will be 852.78 after another three years.

What is the logistic model?

A logistic model, also known as the Verhulst-Pearl model, is a type of function used to describe population growth that is limited. It’s a form of exponential growth that takes into account the carrying capacity of an environment.

Population growth that is limited and slows down as the population approaches its carrying capacity is modeled using the logistic model. It is given by this equation:

\(P(t) = K / (1 + Ae^{-rt})\)

where P(t) is the population at time t, K is the carrying capacity, A is the constant of proportionality, and r is the growth rate.

Suppose a population grows according to a logistic model with initial population 200 and carrying capacity 2,000. If the population grows to 500 after one year, substitute this information into the logistic model: \(P(1) = 500\), \(K = 2000\), and \(P(0) = 200\).

\(500 = 2000 / (1 + Ae^{-r(1)})\)

Now, solve for A by dividing both sides by 2000 / (1 + A):

\(1 + A = 4A = 3\)

Substitute the value of A back into the logistic model equation:

\(P(t) = 2000 / (1 + 3e^{-rt})\)

Solve for r by using the data provided in the problem for the first year (t = 1) and second year (t = 4):

\(P(1) = 500 = 2000 / (1 + 3e^{-r(1)})\)

\(P(4) = ? = 2000 / (1 + 3e^{-r(4)})\)

Solve the first equation for r:

\(500 = 2000 / (1 + 3e^{-r})\\1 + 3e^{-r} = 4e^{-r}\\1 + 3e^r = 4e\)

Solve for e using the quadratic formula to get:

e = 0.4274 and e = 1.1713

Let e = 0.4274:

\(1 + 3e^{-r} = 4e^{-r}\\1 + 3(0.4274)^{-r} = 4(0.4274)^{r}\\1 + 0.5746^r = 1.7166^r\)

Take the natural logarithm of both sides:

\(ln(1 + 0.5746^r) = ln(1.7166^r) - lnr\\ln(1 + 0.5746^r) = rln(1.7166) - lnr\)

Use a graphing calculator to solve for r:

\(ln(1 + 0.5746^r) = rln(1.7166) - lnr\);  -0.1568 < r < 0.7534

Solve for r using the second year’s data:

\(2000 / (1 + 3e^{-r(4)}) = P(4)\\2000 / (1 + 3(0.4274)^{-r(4)}) = P(4)\\P(4) = 852.78\)

Thus, the population will be 852.78 after another three years.

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Please answer this question now

Please answer this question now

Answers

Answer:

1306.24 cm².

Step-by-step explanation:

From the diagram given above, we obtained the following information:

Radius (r) = 13 cm

Pi (π) = 3.14

Slant height (l) = 19 cm

Surface Area (SA) =.?

The surface area of the cone can be obtained as follow:

SA = πr² + πrl

SA = πr ( r + l)

SA = 3.14 × 13 ( 13 + 19)

SA = 40.82 (32)

SA= 1306.24 cm²

Therefore, the surface area of the cone is 1306.24 cm².

My car uses 8.5L of petrol per 100km travelled. If petrol costs $2.05 per litre, how much will the petrol cost for my trip?

Answers

Answer:

$0.17425/Km

Step-by-step explanation:

8.5L/100Km*$2.05/L

= $0.17425/Km

10^3
10^14=10negative^11
true or false

heeellllp asap

Answers

Answer:

False

Step-by-step explanation:

Using the rule of exponents

\(a^{m}\) × \(a^{n}\) ⇔ \(a^{(m+n)}\) , then

\(10^{3}\) × \(10^{14}\) = \(10^{(3+14)}\) = \(10^{27}\)

A surveyor spots a cliff 160 meters tall. He measures the angle of elevation to the top of the cliff as 71°. How far away is the surveyor from the base of the cliff? Round to the nearest meter.

Answers

Therefore, the surveyor is approximately 61 meters away from the base of the cliff. Rounded to the nearest meter, the answer is 61 meters.

What is distance?

Distance is a numerical measurement of the physical space between two points or objects. It is often expressed in units such as meters, feet, miles, or kilometers, depending on the system of measurement being used. Distance is a scalar quantity, meaning that it has only magnitude and no direction. It is different from displacement, which is the vector quantity that describes the overall change in position of an object, taking into account both magnitude and direction. Distance can be calculated using various methods depending on the context, such as using a ruler or tape measure for small distances or using GPS or other advanced technologies for larger distances.

by the question.

We can use trigonometry to solve this problem. Let's call the distance from the surveyor to the base of the cliff "x". Then, we can use the tangent function to find x:

\(tan(71°) = opposite/adjacent\)

In this case, the opposite side is the height of the cliff (160 meters) and the adjacent side is x, so we have:

\(tan(71°) = 160/x\)

To solve for x, we can multiply both sides by x and divide both sides by tan (71°):

\(x = 160 / tan(71°)\)

Using a calculator, we find that tan (71°) is approximately 2.62, so:

\(x = 160 / 2.62\)

x ≈ 61.07 meters

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Based upon data collected in the 2000 United States Census and an expanded number of households, the following histogram was constructed. It shows the distribution of people per household.imageFill in the values for the random variable X in the probability distribution consistent with the histogram above:Be sure your values of x increase from left to right.x P(X=x)P(X=x)Fill in the values for P(X = x) in the probability distribution consistent with the histogram above.xx 1 2 3 4 5P(X=x)P(X=x)

Answers

Based on the data collected in the 2000 United States Census and the expanded number of households, we can fill in the values for the random variable X and the probability distribution P(X=x) consistent with the histogram above.

The values of X represent the number of people per household, and the values of P(X=x) represent the probability of a household having that number of people.

The values for X are already given in the table, so we just need to fill in the values for P(X=x). To do this, we can use the frequencies from the histogram and divide them by the total number of households.

For example, the frequency for 1 person per household is 27, so the probability of a household having 1 person is 27/100 = 0.27. We can do the same for the other values of X to find the probabilities:
x P(X=x)
1 0.27
2 0.33
3 0.17
4 0.13
5 0.10
So the completed probability distribution table is:
x P(X=x)
1 0.27
2 0.33
3 0.17
4 0.13
5 0.10

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what step cadence is used during the ymca 3-minute step test?

Answers

This cadence corresponds to three sets of 24 steps per set, totaling 72 steps per minute. Participants are required to step up and down on a 12-inch step platform for a duration of three minutes, following the 96 BPM rhythm.

The step cadence used during the YMCA 3-minute step test is a set of three stepping cycles per each 20-second period. This means that the participant takes a total of nine steps within each 20-second period. In other words, the participant steps up and down on the platform at a rate of approximately 24 steps per minute. It is important to maintain this consistent step cadence throughout the entire test in order to get an accurate measure of cardiovascular fitness. Overall, the YMCA 3-minute step test is a simple and effective way to assess an individual's aerobic fitness level.


The YMCA 3-minute step test utilizes a specific step cadence to measure an individual's cardiovascular fitness. The answer is that during the test, a cadence of 96 beats per minute (BPM) is used. This cadence corresponds to three sets of 24 steps per set, totaling 72 steps per minute. Participants are required to step up and down on a 12-inch step platform for a duration of three minutes, following the 96 BPM rhythm. Upon completion of the test, the participant's heart rate is measured for a minute to determine their fitness level. The test results can be compared to established norms to gauge overall cardiovascular health and endurance.

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2. Find the missing angle in each triangle
need it asap pls!!​

2. Find the missing angle in each triangle need it asap pls!!

Answers

Answer:

A) 60°

B) 45°

C) 50°

Step-by-step explanation:

the sum of the internal angles of a triangle is 180 °, so the first is an equilateral triangle, so all angles are 60 °.

the second is a right isosceles triangle with an angle of 90 ° and two angles of 45 °.

the third is a right triangle with an angle of 90 °, one from 40 ° and x is 50 °.

What is the simplified Big O notation? Please show the work.O( c 4
1

N 4
+ c 8
1

N 2
)+O(N 4
)

Answers

The simplified Big O notation can be defined as a standard way of expressing the time complexity of an algorithm. The big-O notation uses a function to describe the growth rate of the algorithm as the input size increases.

Big O notation is commonly used to describe the upper bound of time complexity and space complexity. The simplified Big O notation can be defined as the complexity of the algorithm in terms of how many operations it needs in the worst-case scenario.

It is a standard way of expressing the time complexity of an algorithm. The big-O notation uses a function to describe the growth rate of the algorithm as the input size increases. Let's solve the given expression O( c4N4+c81N2)+O(N4) using simplified Big O notation; O( c4N4+c81N2) + O(N4) is equivalent to O( c4N4+c81N2+N4)

Using the rule of thumb that, in Big O notation, we only keep the highest-order term and ignore any constants, we can simplify this further.

Therefore, O( c4N4+c81N2+N4) simplifies to O(N4) because N4 is the highest-order term. Therefore, the Big O notation for the given expression is O(N4).

In the given expression O( c4N4+c81N2)+O(N4), the simplified Big O notation is O(N4).

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Solve the equation: 5 + 2(3 + 2x) = x + 3(x + 1)

Answers

Answer:

No solutions

Step-by-step explanation:

In this question, you would be solving for x.

Solve:

5 + 2(3 + 2x) = x + 3(x + 1)

Use the distributive property.

5 + 6 + 4x = x + 3x + 3

Combine like terms.

11 + 4x = 4x + 3

Subtract 4x from both sides.

11 = 3

Since we don't have an "x value", there are no solutions.

"No solutions" would be your answer.

Which equation contains a value of n that should NOT be placed in the shaded region of the Venn diagram?

Which equation contains a value of n that should NOT be placed in the shaded region of the Venn diagram?

Answers

Answer:A

Step-by-step explanation:

The equation contains a value of n that should NOT be placed in the shaded region of the Venn diagram is -2n= 4.

What is Equation ?

Equations are mathematical statements with two algebraic expressions flanking the equals (=) sign on either side.

It demonstrates the equality of the relationship between the expressions printed on the left and right sides. LHS = RHS is a common mathematical formula.

Coefficients, variables, operators, constants, terms, expressions, and the equal to sign are some of the components of an equation. The "=" sign and terms on both sides must always be present when writing an equation.

Given:

As, From the Venn Diagram and Also we know that Natural numbers can't support Negative integer and Zero

So, equation contains a value of n that should NOT be placed in the shaded region of the Venn diagram

-2n = 4

n= -4/2

n= -2, which cannot be natural number.

Hence, equation contains a value of n that should NOT be placed in the shaded region of the Venn diagram is -2n= 4.

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Fill in the missing statements and reasons in this proof. Number your reasons 1 through 5 as they would be shown in the chart below.

Given: m∠LOM = m∠JKI;
m∠MON = m∠IKH
Prove: m∠LON = m∠HKJ

Fill in the missing statements and reasons in this proof. Number your reasons 1 through 5 as they would

Answers

The missing statements and their reason are shown below.

What is angle?

A figure which is formed by two rays or lines that shares a common endpoint is called an angle.

1. m∠LOM = m∠JKI and m∠MON = m∠IKH

 Reason : Given

2.  m∠LOM + m∠MON = m∠JKI +m∠MON

   Reason :equals are added to another remains equal.

3.  m∠LOM + m∠MON = m∠JKI +m∠JKH

   Reason :m∠MON = m∠IKH.

4. m∠LOM + m∠MON = m∠LON

   m∠JKI +m∠JKH = m∠HKJ

   Reason: parts are equal to whole.

5. m∠LON = m∠HKJ

   Reason: from point 3 and 4

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a certain disease has an incidence rate of 0.5%. if there are no false negatives and if the false positive rate is 3%, compute the probability that a person who tests positive actually has the disease.

Answers

The probability that a person who tests positive actually has the disease is 0.1046.

This problem is a classic application of Bayes' law, but let's try a more concrete approach rather than a boilerplate approach.

Suppose 1,000,000 people are being tested.

According to the incidence, 0.5 percent should be ill, so we would expect 5,000 to be ill and 995,000 not to be ill.

We are testing 5000 of him for this disease. With only a 7% false negative rate, the test is pretty good. That is, out of 5,000 or 350 people with the disease, only 7% will test negative, and the remaining 4,650 will test positive.

We are testing 995,000 people who are not sick. With only a 4% false positive rate, the test is pretty good. That means only 4% of 995,000 or 39,800 diseased people will test positive. The remaining 955,200 will be negative.

4,650 sick and tested positive

39,800 not sick but tested positive

350 sick and tested negative

955,200 not sick but tested negative

our test 955,200 + 4,650 = 959,850 people tested

4,650 + 39,800 = 44,450 people tested positive, but only 4,650 actually tested positive. This is a very small percentage, only 465044450≈0.1046.

In other words, if your doctor says you tested positive, there's only about a 10.5% chance that you actually have the disease. That's the probability we're looking for, and this low value indicates that this test isn't very good.

Learn more about probability:

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